The 10th International P2PFISY Workshop 2024 is being held in Dubai Learn More
Eghbal Rahimikia
Hao Ni
Weiguan Wang
University of Manchester University College London (UCL), Shanghai University
2026
Re(Visiting) Time Series Foundation Models in Finance.

The study utilises a massive dataset comprising approximately two billion observations across 94 countries over 34 years. It compares the performance of various TSFM regimes—zero-shot inference, fine-tuning, and pre-training from scratch—against traditional benchmarks like linear models and tree-based ensembles. The findings indicate that while off-the-shelf TSFMs often underperform, those pre-trained specifically on financial data show significant predictive and economic improvements, particularly when augmented with synthetic data or additional financial factors.